Prediksi Kelayakan Pendidikan Sekolah Dasar di Indonesia Menggunakan Metode Random Forest Berbasis Python Tahun 2023–2024
Keywords:
education feasibility, Indonesia primary school, machine learning, random forest, data scienceAbstract
This study aims to predict the feasibility of primary school education in Indonesia for the 2023–2024 period using a Random Forest algorithm based on Python. The research is motivated by disparities in educational quality across regions, influenced by factors such as infrastructure, teacher availability, and student performance indicators. The dataset used includes variables such as number of students, teachers, school principals, study groups, dropout rates, repetition rates, and classroom conditions across 38 provinces. The method involves data preprocessing, model training, and evaluation using accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score metrics. The findings show that the Random Forest model achieves high predictive performance and is effective in identifying key factors influencing educational feasibility, particularly classroom conditions and teacher availability. The study implies that machine learning can support data-driven decision-making in education policy to improve equity and quality across regions.
Downloads
References
[1] E. A. Apriadi, “A Literature Review on the Role of AI (Artificial Intelligence) in Industry 4.0 Transformation,” Int. J. Technol. Comput. Sci., vol. 1, no. 1, pp. 25–37, 2025.
[2] E. A. Apriadi and M. Bisri, “Optimization of BPJS Health Facility Distribution with K-Means Clustering Algorithm,” Int. J. Technol. Comput. Sci., vol. 1, no. 1, pp. 1–13, 2025.
[3] E. A. Apriadi, S. Lestari, and S. Y. Irianto, “Comparison of Performance of K-Nearest Neighbors and Neural Network Algorithm in Bitcoin Price Prediction,” Sink. J. dan Penelit. Tek. Inform., vol. 8, no. 2, pp. 617–622, 2024.
[4] E. A. Apriadi et al., KECERDASAN BUATAN Teori, Implementasi, dan Aplikasi di Era Digital. Eko Aziz Apriadi, 2025.
[5] E. R. Anggraeny, R. Heriansyah, and N. Suhandi, “PENENTUAN KELAYAKAN KREDIT USAHA RAKYAT PADA BANK SUMSEL BABEL CABANG PEMBANTU SIMPANG SENDER MENGGUNAKAN NAÏVE BAYES CLASSIFIER BERBASIS PARTICLE SWARM OPTIMIZATION,” 2024, Universitas Indo Global Mandiri.
[6] “https://www.researchgate.net/figure/Gambar-1-Model-Random-Forest_fig1_375699316.”
[7] R. R. Hakim, “PREDIKSI KECEPATAN RATA-RATA BERSEPEDA BERDASARKAN KONDISI TOPOGRAFI DAN FAKTOR CUACA MENGGUNAKAN XGBOOST DARI DATA STRAVA,” 2025, Universitas Islam Sultan Agung Semarang.
[8] R. S. Muhammad Afif, “Penerapan Data Analytics untuk Prediksi dan Visualisasi Kualitas Udara Dalam Ruangan Berbasis LSTM dalam Mendukung Pengambilan Keputusan,” 2025.
[9] R. I. ABDULLAH, “Implementasi Metode Random Forest Untuk Penilaian Bank Sampah (Study Kasus Kota Pekanbaru),” 2024, Universitas Lamcamg Kuning.
[10] A. Kristina and S. Rukiastiandari, “Penerapan Algoritma C4. 5 Untuk Klasifikasi Kelayakan Penerima Program Indonesia Pintar (Pip) Di Sd Negeri 13 Jongkong: Implementation Of The C4. 5 Algorithm For Classifying Eligibility Of Indonesia Smart Program (Pip) Recipients At Sd Negeri 13 Jongkong,” Hoaq (High Educ. Organ. Arch. Qual. J. Teknol. Inf., vol. 16, no. 2, pp. 156–169, 2025.
[11] A. H. Fajar, S. B. Jeffersen, R. Fadilla, A. R. Zaini, A. Sucipto, and B. O. Lubis, “PREDIKSI KELAYAKAN SISWA SMA NEGERI JAKARTA SELATAN MENGGUNAKAN ALGORITMA C. 45 BEDASARKAN ZONASI, PRESTASI, DAN RAPOR,” JATI (Jurnal Mhs. Tek. Inform., vol. 9, no. 2, pp. 3446–3455, 2025.
[12] A. P. HARAHAP, “ANALISIS KLASIFIKASI SENTIMEN PREDIKSI RATING APLIKASI APPLE’S APPSTORE DENGAN MENGGUNAKAN METODE ALGORITMA RANDOM FOREST,” Tugas_Akhir Build. Informatics, Technol. Sci., vol. 6, no. 4, pp. 2371–2379, 2025.
[13] C. Amanda Hasna, “Penilaian Kemampuan Pembayaran Kredit Dengan Menggunakan Machine Learning Logistic Regression Dan Random Forest Classifier Pada Home Credit,” 2024.
[14] M. Wiyono, “Klasifikasi kualitas perguruan tinggi di Indonesia menggunakan Random Forest dan Logistic Regression,” 2025, Universitas Islam Negeri Maulana Malik Ibrahim.
[15] M. A. Rachman, D. R. Maulana, B. Timothy, and R. Annisa, “Aplikasi Prediksi Tingkat Kelulusan Mahasiswa Berdasarkan Data Akademik dan Demografi Menggunakan Algoritma Klasifikasi Random Forest,” J. Media Inform., vol. 7, no. 1, pp. 247–255, 2026.
[16] R. Julianto, T. Gunawan, and E. A. Apriadi, “The Application of the K-Medoids Method for Clustering Meta Ads Audiences Based on Promotional Content Effectiveness,” RIGGS J. Artif. Intell. Digit. Bus., vol. 5, no. 1, pp. 1865–1871, 2026.
[17] E. A. Apriadi and M. Bisri, “Bank Customer Decision Prediction on Term Deposit Products Using Random Forest Algorithm on Bank Marketing Campaign Data,” J. Comput. Networks, Archit. High Perform. Comput., vol. 7, no. 2, pp. 534–543, 2025.











